Bonk BONK
BONK cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
80.6% below its 365-day high of $1.58e-05 (2025-10-27), +39.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +39.1% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2.2e-06 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.5 (max 8)
- Current low
- $2.2e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 51% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 3r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $2.46e-06 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 19)
- Current low
- $2.81e-06 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $3.52e-06
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 24
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2.81e-06 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 19)
- Current low
- $2.81e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 169
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.2e-06 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 51%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.46e-06 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2.81e-06 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 3.52e-06. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.81e-06 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Red List: 81% below the 2025-10-27 high; +39% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 21 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +39% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 3.14e-06).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.72 (cheap); -94% from the all-time high.
Has Bonk bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BONK snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.2e-06 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.46e-06 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $2.81e-06 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $3.52e-06, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $2.81e-06 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Bonk below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 80.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.58e-05 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.8% relative to its all-time high of $5.82e-05 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $5.9e-05 · Nov 2024
- Trough
- $2.2e-06 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.3% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +39.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $3.66e-06
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $2.46e-06 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $3.14e-06
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 10.81 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 140 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.9 yrs | 6.7 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $337.2M
- Fully diluted
- $337.2M
- 24h volume
- $36.4M
- Circulating
- 87,994,373,061,141 of 87,995,282,867,001 max
- All-time high
- $5.82e-05 · 2024-11-19 (-94.8%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.721 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.267
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-12-14 (1043 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- bonk
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources