Coin98 C98
C98 cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
65.7% below its 365-day high of $0.0454 (2025-11-07), +42.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
66% below its rolling 365-day high, 348 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +42.9% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.0109 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0109 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 38%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0130 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0141 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0186
- Cycle-low confidence
- 47% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 42
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0141 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.0141 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49%
- Confirmed lows
- 280
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0109 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.013 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0141 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.01859. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0141 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Watch: 66% below the 2025-11-07 high; +43% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +43% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.01662).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.95 (cheap); -88% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Coin98 bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the C98 snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0109 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0130 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0141 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0186, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0141 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Coin98 below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 65.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0454 from 2025-11-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.8% relative to its all-time high of $6.42 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.4600 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0109 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -97.6% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +42.9%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0143
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.0345 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0130 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0166
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 54.98 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 996 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.4 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $16.2M
- Fully diluted
- $16.2M
- 24h volume
- $8.9M
- Circulating
- 999,998,884 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $6.42 · 2021-08-25 (-99.8%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.953 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -87.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.353
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-06-07 (1598 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- coin98
Continue your cycle research
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