Celo CGLD
CGLD cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed
70.5% below its 365-day high of $0.2900 (2025-11-02), +53.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +53.5% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0575 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.5 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.0557 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 54% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0719 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 7 of median 5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.0779 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1005
- Cycle-low confidence
- 63% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 52
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0803 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.0779 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 68%
- Confirmed lows
- 385
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0575 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 54%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0719 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0779 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1005. Cycle-low confidence 63%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0803 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
- Red List: 70% below the 2025-11-02 high; +54% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +54% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-13.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.11 (neutral); -81% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has Celo bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the CGLD snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0575 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0719 from 2026-09-06. A newer candidate at $0.0779 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1005, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0803 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Celo below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 70.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2900 from 2025-11-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.1% relative to its all-time high of $9.82 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.83 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0557 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -97.0% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +53.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.0921
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.2370 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0719 confirmed 2026-09-13 · trigger $0.0823
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 5.94 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.64 x | 10.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 429 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 59.5 x | 15.6 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 4.44 x | 9.3 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 16.5 % | 6.6 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $60.5M
- Fully diluted
- $99.4M
- 24h volume
- $3.6M
- Circulating
- 608,422,490 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $9.82 · 2021-08-30 (-99.1%)
- TVL
- $13.6M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $83.5K
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $559.9K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.108 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -80.8%
- Pi cycle
- 0.401
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-09-01 (2242 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- celo
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources