DeFi · rank #173

Compound COMP

$20.80-1.4% 1d+8.3% 7d+24.7% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 54.8 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 14.70 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 37%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 15.86 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 18.69 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
  • Watch: 57% below the 2025-09-13 high; +42% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 90% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +42% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.11 (neutral); -53% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
15.1842.75120.402024-112025-102026-09peak 141.00low 14.70 (90%)monthly trigger 19.08

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
1r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$14.70 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 6 (max 15)
Current low
$14.70 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
37% · in band
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$15.86 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 4 (max 14)
Current low
$15.84 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
45% · in band
Confirmed lows
58

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 1g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$18.69 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 21)
Current low
$18.69 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
14%
Confirmed lows
392

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$141.00 · Dec 2024
Trough
$14.70 · Jun 2026
Decline
-89.6% over 18 months
Above trough
+41.5%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $19.08
Weekly
confirmed (late (8 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $15.86 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $16.88
Score 54.8
decline29.8
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health78 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
11.56 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
173 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
6.0 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$208.2M
Fully diluted
$208.2M
24h volume
$24.1M
Circulating
10,000,000 of 10,000,000 max
All-time high
$854.45 · 2021-05-11 (-97.6%)
Mayer multiple
1.107 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-52.9%
Pi cycle
0.374
On Coinbase since
2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
CoinGecko id
compound-governance-token