Layer 2 · rank #565

COTI COTI

COTI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0113+0.8% 1d-2.8% 7d-23.8% 30d

Red List held mixed

82.3% below its 365-day high of $0.0640 (2025-11-09), +57.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.00720.036420.18422024-052025-072026-10high 0.064low 0.0072
Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 3g 1r 2Ug 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.0072 · 2026-07-31
Position
3 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$0.0102 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0149
Cycle-low confidence
40% · in band
Confirmed lows
10

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0093 · 2026-08-16
Position
10 of median 5.0 (max 15)
Current low
$0.0102 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0138
Cycle-low confidence
85% · in band
Confirmed lows
43

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0102 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 22)
Current low
$0.0102 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
22%
Confirmed lows
328
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.0072 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.01023 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.01489. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0093 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.01023 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.01375. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01023 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Red List: 82% below the 2025-11-09 high; +57% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.92 (cheap); -83% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.

Has COTI bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the COTI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0072 from 2026-07-31. A newer candidate at $0.0102 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0149, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0093 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $0.0102 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0138, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0102 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is COTI below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0640 from 2025-11-09. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.3% relative to its all-time high of $0.6686 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Red List; recovering → Red List
  2. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
  3. Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  4. First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health46 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
59.02 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
565 #0 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
351844.0 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
536.28 x0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
8.9 %5.9 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.2 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$41.7M
Fully diluted
$41.7M
24h volume
$24.6M
Circulating
2,979,560,603 of 4,910,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.6686 · 2021-09-29 (-98.3%)
TVL
$77.8K (chain)
Fees 30d
$10
Revenue 30d
—
Fees 1y
$500
Mayer multiple
0.915 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-82.7%
Pi cycle
0.4
On Coinbase since
2021-08-26 (1883 bars)
CoinGecko id
coti

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources