Curve DAO CRV
CRV cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 59.6 bullish lean
34.0% below its 365-day high of $0.5966 (2025-10-27), +131.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +131.5% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1700 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 4.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.1700 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 18%
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3110 · 2026-10-18
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.3110 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 42% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 50
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3274 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.3110 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 68% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 364
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.17 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.311 (Oct 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.3274 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
- Watch: 34% below the 2025-10-27 high; +132% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 87% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +132% above the trough; pullback #5 confirmed 2026-10-21.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.50 (neutral); -27% vs the 200-week average; -94% from the all-time high.
Has Curve DAO bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the CRV snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1700 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3110 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3274 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Curve DAO below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 34.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5966 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.4% relative to its all-time high of $15.37 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.34 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $0.1700 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -87.3% over 18 months
- Above trough
- +131.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.2651
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #5 low $0.3110 confirmed 2026-10-21 · trigger $0.3742
| decline | 28.6 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.87 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.54 x | 10.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 105 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.6 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $593.7M
- Fully diluted
- $915.7M
- 24h volume
- $58.6M
- Circulating
- 1,571,059,875 of 3,030,303,031 max
- All-time high
- $15.37 · 2020-08-13 (-97.4%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.498 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -26.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.503
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-03-25 (2037 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- curve-dao-token
Continue your cycle research
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