Cartesi CTSI
CTSI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 bullish lean
53.4% below its 365-day high of $0.0677 (2025-11-20), +55.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +55.5% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 1g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0203 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 4 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0203 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 29%
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Ug 2Ug 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0233 · 2026-09-13
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.0203 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 47% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 52
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0292 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.0292 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 383
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0203 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02327 (Sep 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0292 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Red List: 53% below the 2025-11-20 high; +56% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +56% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-20 (trigger 0.03024).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.15 (neutral); -73% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Cartesi bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the CTSI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0203 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0233 from 2026-09-13. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0292 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Cartesi below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 53.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0677 from 2025-11-20. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.2% relative to its all-time high of $1.74 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.4618 · Feb 2024
- Trough
- $0.0203 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -95.6% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +55.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0251
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.0496 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0233 confirmed 2026-09-20 · trigger $0.0302
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 19.81 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.05 x | 14.6 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 735 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $28.7M
- Fully diluted
- $30.1M
- 24h volume
- $5.7M
- Circulating
- 952,230,055 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $1.74 · 2021-05-08 (-98.2%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.15 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -73.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.441
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-05-06 (1995 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- cartesi
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources