DIA DIA
DIA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Phoenix · weekly · score 50 mixed
81.3% below its 365-day high of $0.8823 (2025-10-27), +68.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
81% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +68.6% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 1g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.1613 · 2026-03-31
- Position
- 7 of median 7.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.0978 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2099
- Cycle-low confidence
- 55%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1141 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.1489 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1850
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 45
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1489 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 37)
- Current low
- $0.1489 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 297
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1613 (Mar 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.09782 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2099. Cycle-low confidence 55%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1141 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1489 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.185. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1489 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Amber List: 81% below the 2025-10-27 high; +69% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 93% decline over 21 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +69% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1359).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.12 (neutral); -58% vs the 200-week average; -86% from the all-time high.
Has DIA bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the DIA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1613 from 2026-03-31. A newer candidate at $0.0978 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2099, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1141 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1489 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1850, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1489 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is DIA below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 81.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.8823 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.1% relative to its all-time high of $5.73 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.35 · Oct 2024
- Trough
- $0.0978 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -92.7% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +68.6%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.2099
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.1613 · Mar 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.1141 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1359
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.41 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.41 x | 11.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 909 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.7 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $19.3M
- Fully diluted
- $27.3M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Circulating
- 119,676,104 of 200,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $5.73 · 2021-05-05 (-97.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.122 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -58.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.337
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-01-25 (1731 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- dia-data
Continue your cycle research
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