Ether.fi ETHFI
ETHFI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 38.1 mixed
36.7% below its 365-day high of $1.10 (2025-10-26), +161.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +161.3% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.2660 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 7.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.2660 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.3480 · 2026-08-09
- Position
- 11 of median 4 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.5940 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.7430
- Cycle-low confidence
- 40% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 18
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2D 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.6360 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.6360 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 17%
- Confirmed lows
- 113
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.266 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.348 (Aug 2026), week 11 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.594 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.743. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.636 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 17%.
- Watch: 37% below the 2025-10-26 high; +161% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 86% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +161% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-08-16.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.44 (neutral); -62% from the all-time high.
Has Ether.fi bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ETHFI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2660 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3480 from 2026-08-09. A newer candidate at $0.5940 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.7430, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6360 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Ether.fi below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 36.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.10 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -91.8% relative to its all-time high of $8.53 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.94 · Oct 2025
- Trough
- $0.2660 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -86.3% over 8 months
- Above trough
- +161.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.3950
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.3480 confirmed 2026-08-16 · trigger $0.4040
| decline | 28.1 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.94 % | 11.5 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 98 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.7 yrs | 3.4 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $695.9M
- Fully diluted
- $695.9M
- 24h volume
- $27.4M
- Circulating
- 965,350,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $8.53 · 2024-03-27 (-91.8%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.443 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.499
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-02-06 (623 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- ether-fi
Continue your cycle research
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