Fluid FLUID
FLUID cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 55.1 mixed
43.4% below its 365-day high of $4.26 (2026-01-25), +197.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +129.6% above the Sep 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1.05 · 2026-09-30
- Position
- 1 of median 4.5 (max 6)
- Current low
- $1.05 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $1.05 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $1.05 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2.14 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $2.14 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 63
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.05 (Sep 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.05 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.14 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Watch: 43% below the 2026-01-25 high; +198% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 75% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +130% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.73 (neutral); -33% from the all-time high.
Has Fluid bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FLUID snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.05 from 2026-09-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.05 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $2.14 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Fluid below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 43.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $4.26 from 2026-01-25. Separately, CoinGecko reports -90.1% relative to its all-time high of $24.40 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch · Phoenix weekly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch → Watch · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Watch
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.26 · Jan 2026
- Trough
- $1.05 · Sep 2026
- Decline
- -75.3% over 8 months
- Above trough
- +129.6%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $1.56
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 22.6 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 7.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.43 % | 3.1 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.19 x | 13.5 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 234 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.9 yrs | 1.2 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $147.2M
- Fully diluted
- $175.9M
- 24h volume
- $2.1M
- Circulating
- 83,696,997 of 100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $24.40 · 2021-06-16 (-90.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.728 · neutral
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-11-25 (331 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- instadapp
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources