Meme · rank #1610

Keyboard Cat (Base) KEYCAT

KEYCAT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.000526+1.5% 1d-3.0% 7d-24.5% 30d

Red List held Phoenix · weekly · score 50 mixed

81.4% below its 365-day high of $0.00283 (2025-10-28), +46.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.0003740.0017110.007832025-042026-012026-10peak 0.008821low 0.00036 (96%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.00098
Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +46.1% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 1g 3g 1r 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.000409 · 2026-04-30
Position
6 of median 5.0 (max 8)
Current low
$0.00036 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.00098
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.000495 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 10)
Current low
$0.000491 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.000627
Cycle-low confidence
62%
Confirmed lows
15

Daily 1

Last bars
1r 2Dr 1g 1 1g
Confirmed low
$0.00053 · 2026-10-08 (daily)
Position
13 of median 5.0 (max 16)
Current low
$0.000491 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.000538
Cycle-low confidence
74% · in band
Confirmed lows
99
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.000409 (Apr 2026), month 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.00036 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00098.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.000495 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.000491 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000627. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00053 (2026-10-08), day 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.000491 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000538. Cycle-low confidence 74%.
  • Red List: 81% below the 2025-10-28 high; +46% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 96% decline over 15 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +46% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.000637).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -93% from the all-time high.

Has Keyboard Cat (Base) bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KEYCAT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000409 from 2026-04-30. A newer candidate at $0.00036 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00098, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000495 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.000491 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.000627, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00053 from 2026-10-08. A newer candidate at $0.000491 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.000538, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Keyboard Cat (Base) below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 81.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.00283 from 2025-10-28. Separately, CoinGecko reports -96.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.0159 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.00882 · May 2025
Trough
$0.00036 · Aug 2026
Decline
-95.9% over 15 months
Above trough
+46.1%
Monthly
not yet · trigger $0.00098
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.000428 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.000495 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.000637
Score 50
decline30
confirmation10
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health34 / 100 · Thin (meme)
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
0.75 %0.8 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
1610 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.6 yrs3.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$5.9M
Fully diluted
$5.9M
24h volume
$44.3K
Circulating
10,000,000,000 of 10,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.0159 · 2024-11-15 (-96.7%)
Mayer multiple
1.038 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.398
On Coinbase since
2025-04-01 (569 bars)
CoinGecko id
keyboard-cat-base

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources