DeFi · rank #177

Kamino KMNO

KMNO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0401+1.9% 1d+6.6% 7d+16.8% 30d

Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 38.5 mixed

42.2% below its 365-day high of $0.0693 (2025-10-31), +198.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.013970.03610.09332025-092026-042026-10peak 0.1041low 0.01342 (87%)monthly trigger 0.021
Where it stands

On the Watch.

Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +198.4% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ur 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0134 · 2026-06-30
Position
4 of median 3 (max 3)
Current low
$0.0134 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Dr 3g 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0173 · 2026-08-09
Position
11 of median 4.5 (max 11)
Current low
$0.0173 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
60% · in band
Confirmed lows
9

Daily 2D

Last bars
2Ug 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg
Confirmed low
$0.0373 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 4.5 (max 23)
Current low
$0.0389 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0403
Cycle-low confidence
16%
Confirmed lows
69
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01342 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 3.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01732 (Aug 2026), week 11 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 60%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.03729 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.03886 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.04025. Cycle-low confidence 16%.
  • Watch: 42% below the 2025-10-31 high; +198% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 87% decline over 9 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +198% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.71 (neutral); -57% from the all-time high.

Has Kamino bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KMNO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0134 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0173 from 2026-08-09. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0373 from 2026-10-18. A newer candidate at $0.0389 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0403, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Kamino below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 42.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0693 from 2025-10-31. Separately, CoinGecko reports -83.8% relative to its all-time high of $0.2478 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.1041 · Sep 2025
Trough
$0.0134 · Jun 2026
Decline
-87.1% over 9 months
Above trough
+198.4%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0210
Weekly
confirmed (late (2 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.0173 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $0.0232
Score 38.5
decline28.5
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health31 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
1.33 %2.8 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.76 x9.3 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
177 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.1 yrs1.7 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$229.3M
Fully diluted
$404.0M
24h volume
$3.0M
Circulating
5,675,342,817 of 10,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.2478 · 2024-12-15 (-83.8%)
Mayer multiple
1.71 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.42
On Coinbase since
2025-09-11 (406 bars)
CoinGecko id
kamino

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources