DeFi · rank #989

Solayer LAYER

LAYER cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0663+0.0% 1d-3.1% 7d-13.6% 30d

Red List Recovering held mixed

82.5% below its 365-day high of $0.3795 (2025-11-22), +15.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.05820.1820.56912025-092026-042026-10high 0.3795low 0.0576
Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.0576 · 2026-07-31
Position
3 of median 5 (max 5)
Current low
$0.0616 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0798
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0643 · 2026-09-13
Position
6 of median 5.0 (max 8)
Current low
$0.0616 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0764
Cycle-low confidence
62% · in band
Confirmed lows
9

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2U
Confirmed low
$0.0616 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5.0 (max 16)
Current low
$0.0616 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
22%
Confirmed lows
67
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.0576 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.06159 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0798.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.06431 (Sep 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.06159 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.07639. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
  • Daily: bar is a doji 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.06159 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Red List: 82% below the 2025-11-22 high; +15% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.90 (cheap); -88% from the all-time high.

Has Solayer bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the LAYER snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0576 from 2026-07-31. A newer candidate at $0.0616 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0798, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0643 from 2026-09-13. A newer candidate at $0.0616 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0764, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0616 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Solayer below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3795 from 2025-11-22. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.0% relative to its all-time high of $3.39 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
  2. First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health30 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
54.21 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
4.76 x0.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
989 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.1 yrs1.7 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$16.3M
Fully diluted
$77.6M
24h volume
$8.8M
Circulating
210,000,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$3.39 · 2025-05-04 (-98.0%)
Mayer multiple
0.897 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.328
On Coinbase since
2025-09-11 (406 bars)
CoinGecko id
solayer

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources