LCX LCX
LCX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
54.4% below its 365-day high of $0.1184 (2025-11-11), +300.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
54% below its rolling 365-day high, 344 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +300.0% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0135 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 8 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.0135 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0235 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.0449 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0674
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 46
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3r 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0449 · 2026-10-13 (daily)
- Position
- 8 of median 5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.0449 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 330
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0135 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0235 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.0449 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0674. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0449 (2026-10-13), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Watch: 54% below the 2025-11-11 high; +300% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +300% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.79 (neutral); -54% vs the 200-week average; -89% from the all-time high.
Has LCX bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the LCX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0135 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0235 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0449 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0674, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0449 from 2026-10-13. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is LCX below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 54.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1184 from 2025-11-11. Separately, CoinGecko reports -90.4% relative to its all-time high of $0.5640 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.4010 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0135 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.6% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +300.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0428
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (5 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0235 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0299
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.56 % | 3.5 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 498 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $49.4M
- Fully diluted
- $49.4M
- 24h volume
- $770.7K
- Circulating
- 948,367,566 of 950,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.5640 · 2021-11-03 (-90.4%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.791 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -53.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.348
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-11-02 (1815 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- lcx
Continue your cycle research
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