DeFi · rank #124

Lido DAO LDO

$0.4100-1.6% 1d+14.9% 7d+40.9% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed

Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.234 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.272 (Aug 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3531 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
Watch: 70% below the 2025-09-19 high; +75% off the 365-day low.
Phoenix: 94% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +75% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-08-23 (trigger 0.334).
Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.25 (neutral); -72% vs the 200-week average; -89% from the all-time high.

From the peak to today, log scale

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

stopped falling, by the rules

Score 65

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx

Health86 / 100 · Strong

Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out	18.21 %	15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell	1.2 x	13.5 / 15
Size (market-cap rank) survivorship	124 #	6 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)	0.7 x	20.0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama)	0.01 x	15.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery	23.2 %	7.3 / 10
Age on Coinbase survived a cycle	3.8 yrs	9.4 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.