Lido DAO LDO
LDO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed
58.2% below its 365-day high of $0.9830 (2025-10-27), +75.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
58% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +75.4% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.2340 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.2340 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.3273 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.3625 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.4583
- Cycle-low confidence
- 54% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 36
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.3625 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.3625 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 21%
- Confirmed lows
- 259
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.234 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3273 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3625 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4583. Cycle-low confidence 54%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3625 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
- Watch: 58% below the 2025-10-27 high; +75% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 94% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +75% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.17 (neutral); -71% vs the 200-week average; -89% from the all-time high.
Has Lido DAO bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the LDO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2340 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3273 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3625 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4583, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3625 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Lido DAO below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 58.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.9830 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.4% relative to its all-time high of $7.30 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.04 · Jan 2024
- Trough
- $0.2340 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -94.2% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +75.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.3350
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.6200 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.3273 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.4326
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 11.93 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.21 x | 13.5 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 131 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 0.6 x | 20.0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 0.02 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 5.3 % | 5.5 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.9 yrs | 9.8 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $385.5M
- Fully diluted
- $464.7M
- 24h volume
- $46.0M
- Circulating
- 829,567,764 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $7.30 · 2021-08-20 (-94.4%)
- TVL
- $23.73B (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $51.5M
- Revenue 30d
- $3.2M
- Fees 1y
- $596.4M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.166 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -71.1%
- Pi cycle
- 0.449
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-11-17 (1435 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- lido-dao
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources