Liquity LQTY
LQTY cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held mixed
69.7% below its 365-day high of $0.6847 (2025-10-28), +35.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.1532 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 6.0 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1846 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2551
- Cycle-low confidence
- 14%
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1980 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.1846 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2303
- Cycle-low confidence
- 65% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 36
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1846 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.1846 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46%
- Confirmed lows
- 315
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1532 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.1846 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2551. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.198 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.1846 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2303. Cycle-low confidence 65%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1846 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Red List: 70% below the 2025-10-28 high; +35% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.91 (cheap); -78% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.
Has Liquity bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the LQTY snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1532 from 2026-07-31. A newer candidate at $0.1846 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2551, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1980 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1846 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2303, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1846 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Liquity below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 69.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.6847 from 2025-10-28. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.9% relative to its all-time high of $146.94 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering → Red List
- Amber List; recovering → Red List; recovering
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.64 % | 10.5 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.01 x | 14.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 829 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.8 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $23.1M
- Fully diluted
- $23.4M
- 24h volume
- $842.2K
- Circulating
- 98,838,238 of 100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $146.94 · 2021-04-05 (-99.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.907 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -77.6%
- Pi cycle
- 0.356
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-01-13 (1743 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- liquity
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources