Treasure MAGIC
MAGIC cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
43.5% below its 365-day high of $0.1669 (2025-11-08), +146.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 44% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +146.3% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0383 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 8.5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0383 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Ug 1r 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0408 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.0408 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 36
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0924 · 2026-10-11 (daily)
- Position
- 10 of median 5.0 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.0928 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0980
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46%
- Confirmed lows
- 253
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0383 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8.5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.04078 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.09242 (2026-10-11), day 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0928 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.09799. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +146% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.72 (neutral); -81% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has Treasure bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MAGIC snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0383 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0408 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0924 from 2026-10-11. A newer candidate at $0.0928 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0980, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Treasure below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 43.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1669 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.5% relative to its all-time high of $6.32 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.58 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0383 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -97.6% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +146.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0460
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.1098 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0408 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0512
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 43.08 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.03 x | 14.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 905 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.9 yrs | 9.6 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $19.4M
- Fully diluted
- $20.0M
- 24h volume
- $8.4M
- Circulating
- 337,598,461 of 347,714,007 max
- All-time high
- $6.32 · 2022-02-19 (-98.5%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.715 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -80.8%
- Pi cycle
- 0.386
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-12-08 (1414 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- magic check
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources