Layer 2 · rank #460

MegaETH MEGA

MEGA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0428-1.2% 1d-6.5% 7d-5.5% 30d

Amber List mixed

77.0% below its 365-day high of $0.1862 (2026-04-30), +42.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.031160.072180.16722026-042026-072026-10high 0.1862low 0.0301
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

77% below its rolling 365-day high, 174 days after the high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.0301 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median ? (max ?)
Current low
$0.0301 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
1

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 3g 2Dr 1r 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0334 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 7.0 (max 9)
Current low
$0.0392 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0539
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Daily 2D

Last bars
3r 2Dr 1g 1r 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.0418 · 2026-10-13 (daily)
Position
8 of median 7 (max 17)
Current low
$0.0415 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0457
Cycle-low confidence
61%
Confirmed lows
22
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0301 (Aug 2026).
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.03342 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.03919 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.05385.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.04184 (2026-10-13), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.0415 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.04574. Cycle-low confidence 61%.
  • Amber List: 77% below the 2026-04-30 high; +42% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: -74% from the all-time high.

Has MegaETH bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MEGA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0301 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0334 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0392 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0539, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0418 from 2026-10-13. A newer candidate at $0.0415 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0457, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is MegaETH below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 77.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1862 from 2026-04-30. Separately, CoinGecko reports -80.4% relative to its all-time high of $0.2177 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Amber List

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health45 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
23.9 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
8.85 x0.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
460 #0 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
64.6 x15.0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
4.46 x9.2 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
8.0 %5.8 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.5 yrs0.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$55.4M
Fully diluted
$490.1M
24h volume
$13.2M
Circulating
1,129,792,788 of 10,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.2177 · 2026-04-30 (-80.4%)
TVL
$12.4M (chain)
Fees 30d
$70.4K
Revenue 30d
$38.3K
Fees 1y
$631.7K
On Coinbase since
2026-04-30 (175 bars)
CoinGecko id
megaeth

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources