Meteora MET
MET cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 37.4 mixed
45.0% below its 365-day high of $0.6158 (2025-10-24), +259.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 45% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +259.0% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3g 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0943 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 6 (max 6)
- Current low
- $0.0943 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1816 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 7 of median 6.0 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1816 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 39% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.3149 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.3149 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 29%
- Confirmed lows
- 74
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0943 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 6.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1816 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3149 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
- Phoenix: 85% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +259% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-13.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.76 (neutral); -39% from the all-time high.
Has Meteora bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MET snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0943 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1816 from 2026-09-06. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3149 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Meteora below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 45.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.6158 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -50.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.6869 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.6158 · Oct 2025
- Trough
- $0.0943 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -84.7% over 8 months
- Above trough
- +259.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1909
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.1816 confirmed 2026-09-13 · trigger $0.2233
| decline | 27.4 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.35 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.79 x | 9.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 204 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.0 yrs | 1.4 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $175.5M
- Fully diluted
- $314.1M
- 24h volume
- $11.1M
- Circulating
- 557,430,195 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.6869 · 2025-10-23 (-50.7%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.763 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.534
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-10-23 (364 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- meteora
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources