Moo Deng MOODENG
MOODENG cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
79.1% below its 365-day high of $0.2000 (2025-12-06), +25.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +25.1% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 1g 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0334 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 7)
- Current low
- $0.0334 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0366 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0352 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0438
- Cycle-low confidence
- 76% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0352 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.0352 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46%
- Confirmed lows
- 106
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.0334 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.03659 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.03518 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.04376. Cycle-low confidence 76%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.03518 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Red List: 79% below the 2025-12-06 high; +25% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 94% decline over 19 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +25% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.93 (cheap); -92% from the all-time high.
Has Moo Deng bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MOODENG snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0334 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0366 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0352 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0438, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0352 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Moo Deng below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 79.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2000 from 2025-12-06. Separately, CoinGecko reports -93.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.6804 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.5601 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $0.0334 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -94.0% over 19 months
- Above trough
- +25.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0486
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.0378 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0366 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0475
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 8.33 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 521 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.9 yrs | 3.9 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $45.6M
- Fully diluted
- $45.6M
- 24h volume
- $3.8M
- Circulating
- 989,936,536 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.6804 · 2024-11-15 (-93.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.934 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.378
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-12-04 (687 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- moo-deng
Continue your cycle research
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