Origin Token OGN
OGN cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
43.3% below its 365-day high of $0.0532 (2026-10-08), +113.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 43% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +113.0% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 1g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0141 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.0141 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 41% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0168 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0168 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 32% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 58
Daily
- Last bars
- 3g 3r 1r 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0302 · 2026-10-12 (daily)
- Position
- 9 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0285 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0327
- Cycle-low confidence
- 72%
- Confirmed lows
- 386
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.01414 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01676 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.03024 (2026-10-12), day 9 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.02852 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.03271. Cycle-low confidence 72%.
- Phoenix: 95% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +113% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.50 (neutral); -64% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has Origin Token bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the OGN snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0141 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0168 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0302 from 2026-10-12. A newer candidate at $0.0285 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0327, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Origin Token below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 43.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0532 from 2026-10-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.1% relative to its all-time high of $3.35 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- Amber List → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.2830 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0141 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -95.0% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +113.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.0243
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (14 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0427 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.0168 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0201
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.99 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.04 x | 7.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1061 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $14.2M
- Fully diluted
- $29.1M
- 24h volume
- $995.3K
- Circulating
- 689,906,414 of 1,409,664,846 max
- All-time high
- $3.35 · 2021-04-08 (-99.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.496 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -64.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.413
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-04-09 (2022 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- origin-protocol
Continue your cycle research
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