DeFi · rank #281

Orca ORCA

$1.60+11.2% 1d+26.6% 7d+46.9% 30d

Phoenix · monthly · score 60.8 full bullish continuity

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.01 (Aug 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.20 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.24 (2026-09-04), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
  • Phoenix: 90% decline over 30 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +68% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-07.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.38 (neutral); -19% vs the 200-week average; -82% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.72542.257.002024-032025-062026-09low 0.9511 (90%)monthly trigger 1.41

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Ur 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$1.01 · 2026-08-31
Position
1 of median 3.5 (max 11)
Current low
$0.9511 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
68% · in band
Confirmed lows
11

Weekly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 3g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$1.20 · 2026-09-06
Position
1 of median 5 (max 19)
Current low
$1.01 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
45% · in band
Confirmed lows
40

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Ug 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$1.24 · 2026-09-04 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 33)
Current low
$1.24 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
14%
Confirmed lows
284

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$9.11 · Dec 2023
Trough
$0.9511 · Jun 2026
Decline
-89.6% over 30 months
Above trough
+67.8%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $1.41
Weekly
confirmed (late (11 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #3 low $1.20 confirmed 2026-09-07 · trigger $1.52
Score 60.8
decline29.8
confirmation25
earliness6.0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health75 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
80.76 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.23 x13.2 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
281 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.6 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$98.5M
Fully diluted
$121.5M
24h volume
$79.5M
Circulating
60,798,773 of 100,000,000 max
All-time high
$20.33 · 2021-10-02 (-92.1%)
Mayer multiple
1.38 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-18.6%
Pi cycle
0.49
On Coinbase since
2022-02-01 (1680 bars)
CoinGecko id
orca