
DeFi · rank #281
Orca ORCA
$1.60+11.2% 1d+26.6% 7d+46.9% 30d
Phoenix · monthly · score 60.8 full bullish continuity
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.01 (Aug 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.20 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.24 (2026-09-04), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
- Phoenix: 90% decline over 30 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +68% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-07.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.38 (neutral); -19% vs the 200-week average; -82% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1.01 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 1 of median 3.5 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.9511 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 68% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1.20 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $1.01 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 45% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 40
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1.24 · 2026-09-04 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 33)
- Current low
- $1.24 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 14%
- Confirmed lows
- 284
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $9.11 · Dec 2023
- Trough
- $0.9511 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -89.6% over 30 months
- Above trough
- +67.8%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $1.41
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (11 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $1.20 confirmed 2026-09-07 · trigger $1.52
Score 60.8
| decline | 29.8 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health75 / 100 · Strong
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 80.76 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.23 x | 13.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 281 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.6 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $98.5M
- Fully diluted
- $121.5M
- 24h volume
- $79.5M
- Circulating
- 60,798,773 of 100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $20.33 · 2021-10-02 (-92.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.38 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -18.6%
- Pi cycle
- 0.49
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-02-01 (1680 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- orca