Raydium RAY
RAY cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
mixed
23.4% below its 365-day high of $2.57 (2026-10-07), +291.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 23% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
A baseline for the next check.
Recorded observations begin with the 2026-09-18 scan. There is no earlier one to compare.
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.5332 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 4 (max 4)
- Current low
- $0.5332 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.6072 · 2026-08-23
- Position
- 9 of median 3.5 (max 10)
- Current low
- $1.70 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $2.52
- Cycle-low confidence
- 41%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.70 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4 (max 12)
- Current low
- $1.70 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 28%
- Confirmed lows
- 58
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.5332 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6072 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Current low 1.70 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2.52. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.70 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 2.06 (neutral); -20% from the all-time high.
Has Raydium bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RAY snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5332 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6072 from 2026-08-23. A newer candidate at $1.70 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $2.52, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $1.70 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Raydium below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 23.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.57 from 2026-10-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -88.3% relative to its all-time high of $16.83 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesHistory starts with the 2026-09-18 scan. Nothing earlier was recorded, so nothing earlier is shown.
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.89 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.06 x | 7.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 110 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.8 yrs | 0.8 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $558.9M
- Fully diluted
- $1.15B
- 24h volume
- $55.3M
- Circulating
- 269,863,591 of 555,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $16.83 · 2021-09-12 (-88.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 2.061 · neutral
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-01-14 (281 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- raydium
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources