Rocket Pool RPL
RPL cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held mixed
59.8% below its 365-day high of $4.00 (2025-11-09), +31.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Dg 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $1.33 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6.5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $1.44 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $2.02
- Cycle-low confidence
- 19%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 3r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $1.56 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 20)
- Current low
- $1.44 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $2.00
- Cycle-low confidence
- 87% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 36
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $1.44 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 21)
- Current low
- $1.44 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 56%
- Confirmed lows
- 229
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 1.33 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6.5. Current low 1.44 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2.02. Cycle-low confidence 19%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.56 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 1.44 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2.00. Cycle-low confidence 87%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.44 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
- Red List: 60% below the 2025-11-09 high; +32% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.95 (cheap); -90% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.
Has Rocket Pool bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RPL snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.33 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $1.44 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $2.02, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.56 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $1.44 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $2.00, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $1.44 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Rocket Pool below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 59.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $4.00 from 2025-11-09. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.4% relative to its all-time high of $61.90 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering → Red List
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.7 % | 4.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 541 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 1.5 x | 20.0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 0.04 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -14.1 % | 3.6 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.9 yrs | 9.6 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $44.1M
- Fully diluted
- $44.1M
- 24h volume
- $750.3K
- Circulating
- 22,875,011
- All-time high
- $61.90 · 2023-04-16 (-97.4%)
- TVL
- $1.25B (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $2.4M
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $31.3M
- Mayer multiple
- 0.949 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -90.0%
- Pi cycle
- 0.454
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-12-08 (1412 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- rocket-pool
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources