DeFi · rank #155

Maple Finance SYRUP

SYRUP cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.2007-0.5% 1d-5.1% 7d-13.2% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 36.4 mixed

60.2% below its 365-day high of $0.5048 (2025-11-08), +77.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.12120.27520.6252025-052026-012026-10peak 0.6599low 0.1133 (83%)monthly trigger 0.1608
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

A crash of 7.5 daily-vol units over 10 days, 60% below its rolling 365-day high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +77.1% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.1133 · 2026-06-30
Position
4 of median 7.0 (max 8)
Current low
$0.1133 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Weekly 2D

Last bars
2Ur 2Ug 1r 3r 2Dg
Confirmed low
$0.1905 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 6 (max 17)
Current low
$0.1860 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2040
Cycle-low confidence
66%
Confirmed lows
12

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.1860 · 2026-10-19 (daily)
Position
2 of median 5 (max 16)
Current low
$0.1860 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
19%
Confirmed lows
102
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1133 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1905 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.186 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.204. Cycle-low confidence 66%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.186 (2026-10-19), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 19%.
  • Amber List: 60% below the 2025-11-08 high; +77% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 83% decline over 12 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +77% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.03 (neutral); -68% from the all-time high.

Has Maple Finance bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SYRUP snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1133 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1905 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1860 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2040, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1860 from 2026-10-19. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Maple Finance below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 60.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5048 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -69.3% relative to its all-time high of $0.6532 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.6599 · Jun 2025
Trough
$0.1133 · Jun 2026
Decline
-82.8% over 12 months
Above trough
+77.1%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1608
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.1905 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2273
Score 36.4
decline26.4
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health57 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
3.62 %10.4 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.07 x14.5 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
155 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.6 yrs3.2 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$296.5M
Fully diluted
$316.2M
24h volume
$10.7M
Circulating
1,167,271,959
All-time high
$0.6532 · 2025-06-25 (-69.3%)
Mayer multiple
1.035 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.407
On Coinbase since
2025-03-13 (588 bars)
CoinGecko id
syrup

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources