DeFi · rank #425

Threshold Network T

T cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.00484-0.7% 1d-4.7% 7d-6.5% 30d

Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed

69.7% below its 365-day high of $0.0160 (2025-11-02), +53.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.003180.011330.040342024-052025-072026-10low 0.00322 (95%)monthly trigger 0.00414
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +50.3% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 2Dg 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.00322 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5.5 (max 12)
Current low
$0.00322 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
27%
Confirmed lows
7

Weekly 1

Last bars
1g 1r 2Dg 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.00322 · 2026-08-23
Position
9 of median 5.5 (max 14)
Current low
$0.00322 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
58% · in band
Confirmed lows
29

Daily 1

Last bars
1r 2Dr 1r 3g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.00469 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
Position
6 of median 4.0 (max 20)
Current low
$0.00463 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.00498
Cycle-low confidence
46%
Confirmed lows
255
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00322 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00322 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.004693 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.004626 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00498. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Amber List: 70% below the 2025-11-02 high; +53% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 95% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +50% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -92% from the all-time high.

Has Threshold Network bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the T snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00322 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00322 from 2026-08-23. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00469 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.00463 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00498, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Threshold Network below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 69.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0160 from 2025-11-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.2269 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.0677 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.00322 · Aug 2026
Decline
-95.2% over 29 months
Above trough
+50.3%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00414
Weekly
confirmed (late (2 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health71 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
5.55 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
425 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
3.7 yrs9.2 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$60.7M
Fully diluted
$60.7M
24h volume
$3.4M
Circulating
11,155,000,000
All-time high
$0.2269 · 2022-03-02 (-97.9%)
Mayer multiple
1.041 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.334
On Coinbase since
2023-01-26 (1365 bars)
CoinGecko id
threshold-network-token

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources