Toshi TOSHI
TOSHI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 70 mixed
85.8% below its 365-day high of $0.000842 (2025-10-25), +22.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
86% below its rolling 365-day high, 361 days after the high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +18.3% above the Oct 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $9.73e-05 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 16 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.000101 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00013
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.000101 · 2026-10-18
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.000101 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 14
Daily
- Last bars
- 1g 2Dg 2Ur 3g 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.000105 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 4.0 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.000103 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 47%
- Confirmed lows
- 113
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 9.729e-05 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 16. Current low 0.0001008 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00013.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0001008 (Oct 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0001048 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
- Red List: 86% below the 2025-10-25 high; +23% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 21 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +18% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.89 (cheap); -92% from the all-time high.
Has Toshi bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the TOSHI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $9.73e-05 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $0.000101 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00013, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000101 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000105 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Toshi below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 85.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.000842 from 2025-10-25. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.00226 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- Red List; recovering → Red List
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
- Red List → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Red List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0025 · Jan 2025
- Trough
- $0.000101 · Oct 2026
- Decline
- -96.0% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +18.3%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.00013
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 30 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.49 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 464 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.7 yrs | 3.5 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $53.1M
- Fully diluted
- $53.1M
- 24h volume
- $3.5M
- Circulating
- 420,690,000,000 of 420,690,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.00226 · 2025-01-26 (-94.7%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.893 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.281
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-01-23 (637 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- toshi
Continue your cycle research
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