
DeFi · rank #592
UMA UMA
$0.3937-0.4% 1d+7.9% 7d+15.5% 30d
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 77.5 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.317 (Aug 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.317 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
- Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.357 (2026-09-01), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
- Amber List: 74% below the 2025-10-13 high; +24% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 31 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +24% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.96 (cheap); -78% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3170 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 1 of median 5.5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.3170 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 24%
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Weekly
- Last bars
- 3r 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1
- Confirmed low
- $0.3170 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 4 of median 4.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.3170 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 39% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 53
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1g 1
- Confirmed low
- $0.3570 · 2026-09-01 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.3570 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 21%
- Confirmed lows
- 411
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $7.01 · Jan 2024
- Trough
- $0.3170 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -95.5% over 31 months
- Above trough
- +24.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.4030
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 77.5
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 22.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health67 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.57 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.43 x | 11.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 592 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $35.8M
- Fully diluted
- $51.0M
- 24h volume
- $2.3M
- Circulating
- 90,984,929
- All-time high
- $41.56 · 2021-02-04 (-99.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.965 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -77.5%
- Pi cycle
- 0.316
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-09-08 (2191 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- uma