DeFi · rank #592

UMA UMA

$0.3937-0.4% 1d+7.9% 7d+15.5% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 77.5 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.317 (Aug 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.317 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
  • Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.357 (2026-09-01), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Amber List: 74% below the 2025-10-13 high; +24% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 96% decline over 31 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +24% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.96 (cheap); -78% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.3191.194.412024-032025-062026-09low 0.317 (96%)monthly trigger 0.403

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.3170 · 2026-08-31
Position
1 of median 5.5 (max 14)
Current low
$0.3170 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
24%
Confirmed lows
13

Weekly 1

Last bars
3r 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1
Confirmed low
$0.3170 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 4.0 (max 18)
Current low
$0.3170 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
39% · in band
Confirmed lows
53

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1g 1
Confirmed low
$0.3570 · 2026-09-01 (daily)
Position
6 of median 5.0 (max 24)
Current low
$0.3570 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
21%
Confirmed lows
411

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$7.01 · Jan 2024
Trough
$0.3170 · Aug 2026
Decline
-95.5% over 31 months
Above trough
+24.2%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.4030
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 77.5
decline30
confirmation25
earliness22.5
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health67 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
6.57 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.43 x11.8 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
592 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
6.0 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$35.8M
Fully diluted
$51.0M
24h volume
$2.3M
Circulating
90,984,929
All-time high
$41.56 · 2021-02-04 (-99.1%)
Mayer multiple
0.965 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-77.5%
Pi cycle
0.316
On Coinbase since
2020-09-08 (2191 bars)
CoinGecko id
uma