DeFi · rank #627

Velodrome Finance VELO

$0.0250-0.7% 1d+16.1% 7d+39.7% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 72.5 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0159 (Aug 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 2. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0163 (Aug 2026), week 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 36%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02274 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
  • Watch: 64% below the 2025-09-13 high; +112% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 96% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +58% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-08-30 (trigger 0.02122).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.45 (neutral); -93% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.012480.066520.35462024-032025-062026-09peak 0.3949low 0.0159 (96%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.02569

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Ur 3g 2Ur 2Dg 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.0159 · 2026-08-31
Position
1 of median 2 (max 8)
Current low
$0.0159 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
21% · in band
Confirmed lows
8

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0163 · 2026-08-23
Position
3 of median 5 (max 11)
Current low
$0.0163 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
36%
Confirmed lows
26

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 3g 2Ur 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0227 · 2026-09-05 (daily)
Position
2 of median 5 (max 20)
Current low
$0.0211 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
58% · in band
Confirmed lows
168

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.3949 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.0159 · Aug 2026
Decline
-96.0% over 29 months
Above trough
+57.5%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0257
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.0389 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.0163 confirmed 2026-08-30 · trigger $0.0212
Score 72.5
decline30
confirmation25
earliness7.5
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health52 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
6.41 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.99 x7.6 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
627 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
2.6 yrs6.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$32.6M
Fully diluted
$64.9M
24h volume
$2.1M
Circulating
1,305,654,651
All-time high
$0.4075 · 2024-12-13 (-93.9%)
Mayer multiple
1.446 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.421
On Coinbase since
2024-02-06 (945 bars)
CoinGecko id
velodrome-finance