dogwifhat WIF
WIF cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
64.4% below its 365-day high of $0.5780 (2025-10-27), +54.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +54.8% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1330 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 8.0 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.1330 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1730 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1869 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2262
- Cycle-low confidence
- 58% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 14
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1869 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.1869 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 13%
- Confirmed lows
- 112
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.133 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 8.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.173 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.1869 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2262. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1869 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 13%.
- Amber List: 64% below the 2025-10-27 high; +55% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 21 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +55% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.2185).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.11 (neutral); -95% from the all-time high.
Has dogwifhat bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the WIF snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1330 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1730 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1869 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2262, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1869 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is dogwifhat below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 64.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5780 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.7% relative to its all-time high of $4.83 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.40 · Nov 2024
- Trough
- $0.1330 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -97.0% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +54.8%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.2370
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.1620 · Mar 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.1730 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2185
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 21.11 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 168 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.9 yrs | 4.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $251.0M
- Fully diluted
- $251.0M
- 24h volume
- $53.0M
- Circulating
- 998,926,392 of 998,926,392 max
- All-time high
- $4.83 · 2024-03-31 (-95.7%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.112 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.397
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-11-13 (708 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- dogwifcoin
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources